Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Tiny Bubbles in the Wine, Tiny Bubbles Make Me Feel Fine

Just taking a break from cleaning my neighbor's pool, lounging on my deck, enjoying a cold drink. I wonder if there really is anything to this whole real estate bubble theory some people are talking about? My condo is pretty nice. Good neighborhood. Nice weather. Couple miles from the blue Pacific. They have been going for $600,000-$650,000. Still, It's nowhere near as nice as the house I grew up in a few miles away. I wonder how much that's worth now? My parents paid $17,000, late in 1959.

It seems to me that the Japanese had a situation like this in the eighties. Yeah, I remember now, they were selling each other urban real estate, generating inflated equity, and leveraging the equity to buy more inflated real estate. I remember a Japanese real estate investor saying, with a straight face, that a several square block area in the center of Tokyo, was worth more than the entire state of California. It all came unraveled in 1990. Real estate values dropped like a shot. They had some problems with bad real estate loans, too. Not really a stock market problem. All the economic fundamentals were good. They did have to lower interest rates to Zero, where they pretty much are to this day and the Nikkei 225, almost two decades later, is still less than half what it was then.

It's not the same though. The Japanese economy is not the same as ours here in America. Do you want to know why?

THEY STILL ACTUALLY MAKE STUFF IN JAPAN AND SELL IT TO OTHER COUNTRIES! FOR A PROFIT!

News from the Western Front

Unless you have perfect credit and you want to borrow less than $400,000 you ain't going to get no mortgage, baby. You can find a few houses in the LA basin for less than half a mil but you better be ready to invest in body armour and pittbulls. Not many houses are going to be changing hands any time soon. New construction for less than $500,000, forget about it. Housing starts may look good for the last couple of months, housing finishes are going to be another story.

Three more months, tops, a whole lot of real estate professionals are going to be out of a job. Escrow officers, loan officers, and a raft of related workers, ditto. The construction trades are shutting down. Lumberyards and building supply houses will go into moth balls. When the construction trades come to a halt, so do the remittances to Mexico and Central America. Instant recession for our neighbors to the south. The sale of the durable goods that go into the domiciles that change hands? Nope. And on, and on, and on.

Unemployment is going to start going up. Money is tight. There's going to be less of it around. SoCal is a service economy. Mostly, we make a living out here cleaning each others pools. Can everybody say, domino effect?

There's nothing to worry about. We've had this kind of thing happen before. We just need to generate some liquidity. No problem.

I've got just two words to say to you.

PYRAMID SCHEMES!!!

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Summer Song

It's summertime. The best time of the year. you can keep your winter sleigh rides, autumn leaves and spring wildflowers. Summer is long days and warm nights, the beach, no school, first loves and last freedoms.

Back in the days of AM radio, they used to play little pop songs especially suited for summer. Usually, by the end of the season they began to wear on you. Sometimes a lot earlier than that. Some of them, you cherish all your life. It may be the song. It may have more to do with the memorability of the summer during which it was popular.

My all-time favorite is "Brown Eyed Girl", by Van Morrison. I don't even remember what year they first started playing it. Sometime in the late sixties, I think. I wouldn't want to be 35 again, or 25. If it could be 1969 again and I could be 17, that's a different story.

What's your favorite summer song?

Monday, August 13, 2007

Karl, we hardly knew ye

A lot of left wingers are going to be real happy that Karl Rove is going back to Texas to "spend time with his family". I'm not one of them. Karl doesn't make political policy or decisions. I don't think he's personally political at all. He works with public relations and advertising. He didn't have anything to do with the war. he got involved with Plamegate only after it became a public relations problem. He is a master of dirty tricks and personal smears but that is the meat and potatoes of partisan politics today, on both sides of the fence. You can't criticize him because he's better at it than anybody else.

Karl was responsible for the perception that GWB was a regular guy, down to earth, self depreciating, with a wry sense of humor. I think that in coaching the President to show these traits to the public, some of them might actually have rubbed off on the unfortunate dolt. It might have at least, temporarily, made him a better, more reflective and empathetic person. Who will do that for him now?

In his public life, Karl has been positively shy. He does not make bellicose, doctrinaire, pronouncements. He doesn't respond to personal attacks. He is not afraid of innocent sponaneity. I thought his pogo dance, on the podium of the recent Washington annual press dinner, did more for the image of the administration, than a hundred "mission accomplished" speeches ever could.

He doesn't cultivate that macho, "chickenhawk", schtick. He doesn't gild his image with phony academic degrees. He doesn't make a beeline for the spotlight at every opportunity. He never portrays himself as the long suffering martyr. In short, he never does for himself, the things he is so good at doing for others.

Karl, we hardly knew ye.

Sunday, August 12, 2007

A little too stable

Max Weber postulated well over a century ago that the State is defined as the monopoly of force within defined territorial boundaries. Nobody has come up with a better definition yet.

As long as they have plenty of force, dictatorial states have no problem maintaining power. Democratic states have a harder time but since they are operating under a consensus, need less force. When consensus is no longer possible, democratic states have two options. Find a new consensus or become dictatorial states. We have frequent elections, here in America. This is our mechanism for maintaining consensus.

The left is afraid that the right will foment a military coupe or subvert the electoral process and thereby remain in power indefinitely. The right is afraid that the left will make voting mandatory among the general population, knowing that the larger percentage of the non-voting underclass will support the left's more liberal social entitlements.

What's going to happen, instead, is that the governmental establishment will co-opt the political establishment, of the right and left, so that it doesn't really matter who gets elected. Things will pretty much continue on, the same.

Voila, dictatorial state. Take a close look at your elected representatives in Washington and tell me it isn't true. Look at the front runners for the next Presidential election. If they were any more dumbed down they'd need feeding tubes. Can you think of one real change in policy thats happened in the last several years? The only thing that's changed about our government is more.

More power. More money. More control. MORE FORCE.

The last thing we need to worry about is the stability of our government. Unless you think it's a little too stable.

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Buddy, can you spare a dime.

The administration has been wheeling out George W. Bush the last couple of days to tout the strength of the US economy. At least they say it's Bush. I personally think it may be some kind of Max Headroom/Meet Mr. Lincoln video enhanced robot.

He says that the US can handle the current market volatility. He says that the US economy is the envy of the World. He says that inflation is under control. He says we should lower corporate taxes and leave corporate CEO and big player compensation alone. What a maroon.

The US doesn't produce anything. Home ownership is beyond the reach of the working family. Those that do own homes have been leveraging them for years to finance a lifestyle they can't afford. We import most of our fuel, durable goods, consumables and even an increasing percentage of food stuffs from foreign markets. The top 1% of the population controls all of the countrie's wealth and resources. The rest of us actually owe more than we're worth. Most people have virtually nothing put away for retirement and expect that the Government will take care of them.

The dollar, increasingly, is worth garbage opposed to foreign currencies. Market strategists continue to expect strong consumer spending, even in the face of evidence that the American consumer is tapped out. The American consumer will continue to spend, as long as credit is extended and payment is delayed.

The mortgage market is in shambles. Credit card debt will be next. Consumer spending will follow. The American economy is not the envy of the World.

Hey, don't you remember, they called me Al. It was Al, all the time. Say, don't you remember, I'm your pal. Buddy can you spare a dime.

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Someone is in for a surprise ,soon

I was reading an article on market analysis on the Fox News site today. The gist of it was that there is no real threat to the markets or economy from the sub-prime meltdown. The default of sub-prime mortgages, they say, is manageable. The problem is psychological. Earnings are high, as is employment. Corporate balance sheets are flush. They are missing something, I think. They aren't looking at the way people are living. They aren't listening to what they are saying.

A lot of people say they are worse off than previously. Even though employment is high and income is up, a lot of people say the economy is already in a recession. What's going on? Are they dim?

The truth is, people can't afford their lives. Even though they have income and benefits, they can't afford the things they need. They need a car, so they go into debt to buy it. They need a house, so they go into debt to buy it. The house and car note, as well as the attendant costs of operation and ownership, eat up most of their income. To obtain the other necessities of life, they use their credit cards. When the credit card debt becomes unmanageable, they refinance their home and pull out equity to defray costs. Their already unmanageable mortgage becomes more unmanageable. They get promotions and raises at work, they moonlight. These people don't golf, don't dine out, take vacations, buy nice clothes, or send their children to private schools.

Fast forward 20 years. They are making more than twice what they used to make but the house that they paid $150,000 for is now in hock for $500,000. Something went wrong with the last car before the 72 month payment schedule was over and now they owe $20,000 on a car that cost $14,000 and is worth $6,000, maybe, at 13%. The credit card debt is worse than ever. What can you do? The money always runs out before the end of the pay period, way before. The oldest boy is married now, with two kids and lives in an apartment. He's a good boy. He and his wife live like church mice but it's soccer season. The kids need shin guards, shoes and uniforms. They also need dental work. What are you going to do?

What's going on here is a lot more than psychological. George Bush and his rich friends are driving along in the beautiful, barge-like, SUV of State. The stereo is playing some sweet sounds. The cell phones are out. The air conditioning is blasting. There's a case of cold ones in the cooler. The engine is running sweet and the fuel line is still full but the tank is empty.

Someone is in for a surprise, soon.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Slue Foot

There is a trick that rich boys learn when gambling and GWB has apparently learned it well. Double down when you lose and go for broke. It doesn't matter how much you lose or how bad things get, If your pockets are deep enough and you've got the guts, you will eventually win and come out ahead. That's what he's doing in Iraq. It's a strategy that will certainly work. The only question is, are his pockets deep enough and does he have enough time.

Bush is betting everything he has left on David Petreaus and the surge. William Kristol, the quintessential neocon, has crowed, that in Petreaus, Bush has found his Ulysses S. Grant. I think that Petreaus is cast more in the role of Eisenhower than Grant. As Eisenhower was able to unite the diverse and antagonistic Allied factions to subdue fortress Europe, Petreaus must convince the Iraqis that it is in their interest to unite and form a stable and democratic society. Petreaus is a good choice. He is smart, confident and a hard worker. Whether he will succeed is still in question.

The question is not whether Petreaus is up to the job but whether the Iraqis are ready to lay down their arms and work together. All of this talk by the administration, about Al Qaeda terrorists being the real threat in Iraq, is not helpful. It should be clear to everyone who is in the least informed, that the Iraqis themselves are the real roadblock to resolution of the current chaos. Even if Al Qaeda is responsible for significant disruption in Iraq, they could not function without at least the tacit support of the majority of the populace. I see no indication that the Iraqis are ready for peaceful coexistence, not the man on the street, not the religious leaders, not the army or police, not the civil service or elected leaders. Petreaus can lead them into a secure and prosperous future, of this there is no doubt. I don't think that's where they want to go. I don't think Petreaus has the tools to make them want to go there. I truly wish that he did.

Pollsters seem to agree that less than 30% of Americans still believe that Bush is doing a good job. There are still slightly more than 40% who don't believe we should we should precipitously withdraw from Iraq. I don't believe that the President's personal popularity can go any lower. Those who are with him now will be with him til the end. If Petreaus fails though, I think it's probable that the war fails with him. Support for the war will continue to erode if he fails.

I do not expect that Bush will give up. He has shown that his resolve transcends mere stupidity. He is the John Henry, the Paul Bunyan, the Joe Magerak of retards. He is the Pecos Bill of the thirty percenters, although he may have more in common with Slue Foot Sue.

While Bush may have nothing more to lose and everything to gain by his current Iraq stand, this is not true of the Republican Party. If we are still embroiled in an unsuccessful foreign war in November of 2008, the election will be a decided on that one issue. Hilliary Clinton will be President and the Democratic majority in Congress will go from marginal to overwhelming. What a waste.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

I Think We Probably Just Die

The Pope says that the Roman Catholic Church is the only real church because the papal succession leads directly back to Peter. He says it's OK to say the mass in Latin again. I got no problems with this but do you really think it's the kind of thing Jesus would be interested in?

I don't think Jesus cares about the church much. Whether he gets worshiped and sung to. Whether he gets recognized as the Lord and Savior. I guess the question is, do we do the right thing so we can get eternal life or because that voice that's inside each of us tells us it's the right thing to do? A lot of the time the things the Church says to do conflict with the voice inside. A lot of the time what I know is the right thing to do conflicts with how I've chosen to live my life. The bottom line is, I don't do the right thing all that much of the time and I know it.

I worry about myself too much. I save money because I don't want to be old and poor but there are poor people all around me.I should be helping them but I don't. I get bored in church and think it's stupid. I never meet clergy that I like and respect and very few Christians but I'm no better than they are. Jesus taught good things but set a standard that none can achieve. It's like we have to pay for that by accepting him as a God and then we get to be saved, even though we're bad. That seems nasty and mean, not like something Jesus would come up with.

I don't really believe in God the way most Christians do. No omniscient being could ever come up with that holy trinity thing. I believe in positive and negative, good and bad, Ying and yang. The problem with that is, since you can't have one without the other, good can never triumph over evil. Another big problem is the promise of eternal life. Believe and you get it, deny and you don't. Even Jesus had doubts though, so you know there's got to be some kind of continuum, one too many wrong moves and you go to hell. It's too much like a spelling bee. I think we probably just die.

You Don't Need A Weatherman

The Bush administration says now that our main enemy in Iraq is Al Qeada and that the surge is working. Maybe this is true. The violence has not decreased. The IEDs continue to blow in the streets of Bagdad. The rocket attacks on the Green Zone are unabated. American soldiers continue to die. As the Iraqi Pariment goes on summer recess, they have no support among the people, no control of their own military. It isn't that they need more training to be effective. They need more loyalty. Bush's press people say the surge is working. Maybe it is.

The Bush administration says that Al Queda is more powerful now than at any time since 9/11. Al Queda has it's stronghold in the tribal areas in the mountainous border regions of Afganistan and Pakistan. Bush administration spokesmen call these areas semi-autonomous. I don't see what's so damned semi about it. There is no military or civil presence there. There wasn't when the British lost an army there 200 years ago. There wasn't when Alexander decided not to fight them 2000 years ago. There isn't any now and there's not likely to be for the next 1000 years. Al Queda doesn't control these areas, the tribesman that live there do but they welcome Al Queda, for now. Why shouldn't they? Al Queda brings money and guns and strong men to fight beside them. Together they can slaughter the Afgan warlords that would take the poppy fields for their own and make the Pakky dog soldiers pee down their legs in fear.

Three years ago, The Bush administration told us that Al Queda was isolated and insulated from the rest of the world in these mountainous wastes, no threat to anyone, impotent. Today the Bush administration tells us that Al Queda has rebuilt it's leadership, recruited and trained new hosts of fighters, re-established effective communications, and refilled their coffers. How could this have happened?

George Bush has always told us that it's better to fight them over there, than over here. The Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security tells us this week, to expect major acts of terrorism, in this country, this summer. Since we're not fighting them over there, in the semi-autonomous border regions, I guess now we'll have to fight them over here.

Maybe we can get these damn California gun laws relaxed a little now. Anybody know where I can get an AK and a couple hundred thousand rounds? How about some RPGs? I'd like some of them too.

You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

I Guess My Check Got Lost In The Mail

I noticed that one of the benchmarks that the Iraqi government is deficient in is insuring an equitable distribution of oil revenues among the population regardless of racial or religious origin. It doesn't surprise me that they are unable to achieve this lofty goal. What surprises me is that they feel any need to share it with the people at all.

In this great nation, the government is all too eager to lease or sell our natural resources to corporate interests at fire sale prices, or just give them away outright. The profits can then be reaped by those lucky enough to be in the investor class. The investor class are those that take the admonition to work smarter not harder to the ultimate extreme.

In my family we have birthed many types of people. There have been doctors, nurses, school teachers, clergymen, farmers, small business owners, factory workers, just about every type of person you can name. We never had any investor class types though, no criminals either, come to think of it. I guess they just blew all that money they made working themselves to death all those years. Yep, I bet uncle Ernest used to neglect the morning milking in the dairy barn, to whisk aunt Pearl off to Monte Carlo, where they would engage in wild gambling sprees and he would sip champagne from her orthopedic shoe, thus ruining forever our chances of entering the investor class.

George Bush is from the investor class. I feel so bad, like I've let him down. I wasted my life working. I worked harder, not smarter. I never had the time to get rich. I got a rickety, cardboard condo and a couple of motorscooters to my name. My savings are of very un-Warren Buffet like proportions. I probably will be able to afford all the cheap Chinese crap I will ever need, at Walmart and the 99 cent only store. I guess I don't need any of that resource revenue sharing crap. I guess the investor class needs it and deserves it more than I do. After all they risked their capital so that stupid work harders not smarters like me could have a job at all and I'm damn grateful.

Thanks George, enjoy the money. It warms my heart to know that capitalists like you are looking out for my welfare, even though I don;t deserve it.

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

La Migra

Let me tell you about my friend. She was born a half century ago in a little highland village in a Latin American country far away. Her family wasn't poor. They had a roof over their head and a little garden plot. Fruit grew in the trees and was free for the taking in the surrounding hill sides. Water came from the stream that ran by the village. There were no schools, no healthcare. The only government service provided were the squads of militia that came in the night and took away the politicos and social activists. The villagers were Roman Catholic. Holidays were celebrated. Everybody walked to mass at the church in the nearest town. It was the life she was born to. The only life she knew. A good life.

When she was fifteen she became a woman by local standards. She got pregnant, as young girls sometimes do everywhere. There was no one who would marry her. In the local culture, unmarried girls are allowed to have their babies. They are allowed to nurse them but they receive no food from the family table. Babies without fathers are not members of the family. After a while the babies usually disappear. Some mothers will nurse a child for years and feed them what they can. In the end, the child is on it's own, feral, a denizen of the street. It is the way of things. Some of them survive for years, some don't. Left alone, feral children become feral adults. Such a thing is prejudicial to good order. The local militia takes time each year to round up what feral children they can and shoot them. They do the same with wild dogs.

My friends heart was broken but not her spirit. There was no help for her, not from friends, family or church. She left her village in the night, with the clothes on her back and sandals on her feet. Like millions before and after her she had begun the migration to the North. It was months later that she swam the river, with the baby boy tied high on her back. A baby born far away and in another country from the one she left. To get to the fabled North, she had worked, begged and stolen to make her way. She had sold what she had to sell, her body, and that helped too.

Today my friend, like me, is beginning to grow old. She is still strong and quick. She laughs often. She lives in the present and talks of the future, never the past. She has a little house, in a good neighborhood. The yard is full of flowers and fruit trees. There is food and water and a place to rest for the birds as they migrate through. She is always attending a college class. She has hundreds of semester hours in every imaginable discipline. She speaks four languages but still has trouble with reading and writing, they are skills it is better to learn young. She writes and plays music. Always, there is work, 60, 70, 80 hours a week, if it is available. It is the way it has always been for her. It is the way it will always be. It is not low paid work. That the house is paid for and there is money put away makes no difference. Work is not to be turned down.

She sends money home to her family in the little village, in a country far away. She sends money to the church in the nearby town. She has it to give and they need it. She takes her family for visits there. She cannot take her oldest son, the child of la migra. He has no father, he is not welcome in the family. He can receive no food at the table.

My friend has a passport, a Social Security number. She is for all intents and purposes a citizen. Same thing with her oldest son. They are not citizens though. All their documentation is fraudulent. Even when amnesty was available they didn't come forward. Government entities are not something they put their trust in. I guess the Republifundimentalists would like to send them back where they came from. Yeah, they'd like a lot of things. Fuck'em. This country is a better place because of my friend and the millions like her.

Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses, yearning to be free.

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Don't Say I Didn't Tell You So.

The administration already knows we've lost in Iraq. The Iraqis know this also. The Iraqis who aid and abet our cause, from the highest officials to the lowliest clerk and driver, know that when we leave, their lives won't be worth shit. That's why they are cutting deals now with their American masters for when the inevitable happens.

It can't be helped. It can't be stopped. When we leave Iraq, we will be taking them with us. We have already promised, in order to secure their dubious loyalty. Their parents too. Wives and families, of course. Siblings, cousins, aunts and uncles can't be forgotten. Maybe a few other countries will take in a token population. Most of them will come to America. Hundreds of thousands, perhaps a million or more Iraqis will be resettled here in America. You think we have problems with the muslim population now, just wait.

Most of them will want to come to Southern California. It can't be helped. We are the Zona Libre of the nation. They'll probably be worth it for the food alone. Then there will be the girls. We'll raise them up on protein, rock and roll, and good dental care. In 15 or 20 years they should be something to see. I hope my eyesight holds up.

The world turns. Hope springs eternal.

Sunday, March 18, 2007

But He Does Got A Purty Mouth

I saw Tom DeLay on Meet the Press this morning. He was his usual smug, smarmy, bullying self. He said he had to question the patriotism of anyone who voiced opposition to the war in Iraq. Once embarked upon a war, he said, it is incumbant upon us all to pull together. He implies that anyone who doesn't is a traitor. Simple as that.

I'm hearing this kind of sentiment more and more from voices on the Right. That there is no room for dissent on the issue of the war in Iraq. That anything less than unqualified support does insult and injury to the troops in the field and aids and abets the enemy.

I've never liked Tom DeLay. He's all bluster and hair oil. A failed rat killer and dirty politican. That Republicans see him as a leader and spokesman says reams about the state of partisan politics in the country today.

Patriotism is about the esteem and love which we hold for the country which has nurtured us so well. It's fair to assume that this love manifests itself in different ways, in different people. While I personally dispise Tom Delay and believe he is a felon and should do hard time, I do not question his patriotism. That he questions mine does not trouble me. He is a redneck mutant. Kind of like that little boy in Deliverance, only without the banjo.

Monday, February 05, 2007

Fr. Robert F. Drinan

I've been waiting a week to see what the Conservo-Fascists would have to say about the passing of Father Drinan. It seems it's not a subject they have much to say about.

Father Drinan served 5 terms in the House of Representatives, with the blessing of Pope Paul II. Pope John Paul II forced him to choose between the preisthood and Congressional membership. This was at the time when Pope John Paul also dismantled the autonomy of the Jesuit Order, as part of his efforts to re-totalitarianize the Church. Father Drinan chose the priesthood.

Father Drinian was the antithesis of the religious leaders we see on the political scene today. He owned a single suit of clothes and lived in a room at Georgetown University. He did what was right. He said what was true.

Hear me Conservo-fascist scum! You can keep the likes of James Dobson, Pat Robertson and Paul Crouch. Men of God who steal from widows and orphans to amass huge personal fortunes. Men who dress in the finest clothes and personal accoutrements. Men who feel the need for professional bodyguards, when they travel in their bullet proof motorcades and private jets. Men who seek to gild their temples with offerings extorted from the poor and suffering. Men such as these are not worthy to shine the single pair of worn brogans owned by Father Drinan.

Monday, January 22, 2007

Abortion? Yes Ma'am

The conservatives, the fundamentalists, the corporate fat cats, the Bushies never tire of telling us that the government should keep their nose out of the individuals life and beliefs.

Don't teach evolution or the facts of sexual reproduction in schools. Don't regulate environmental pollution. Don't tell us what size of cars we can drive or how much gas milage they have to get. They say that personal property should be respected at all costs. Personal religious choices and philosophies should also be respected, they tell us. The man is the head of the family and household. Spare the rod and spoil the child. There is no global warming and if there is, it's not caused by greenhouse gases and if it is, it's not that bad and if it is, it shouldn't be dealt with, lest we interfere with the sacred free market economy.

The control of the children that they demand and recieve is total. They go to church whether they like it or not. They are home schooled. Their sexuality is controlled to conform to the standards of the religious and moral community, until they are no longer of minor age, or run away. They have the right, they say. America is a free country. You can raise your family like you want. Right?

Then you mention a woman's right to control her own body, or death with dignity and they start screaming murderer. What a bunch of sanctimonious witchburners.

Tuesday, January 09, 2007

God Damn You All

We're told by the President that a "surge" of troop strength in Bagdad will accomplish what the last 4 years of occupation has not. That the warring factions will be "pacified" and the Iraqi Government can then gain a foothold of control.

Our military can destroy other military forces. They can gain physical control of territory. That's what they do. They cannot force the populace of a fractured and oppressed society to modify their behavior. If we try to make them do this, the military itself will break, no matter what the troop strength we maintain. It's like trying to use a hammer to bake bread.

President Bush has made huge blunders in Iraq. He continues to make them. He thinks that he can somehow "force" the populace to behave the way he wants. He has not been able to and now they have nothing more to lose. Family and civil authority are irrepairably broken. Millions of Iraqis are dead, displaced or refugees in foreign lands, only time will tell how many are which. The only functioning societal fabric left are the tribal affiliations that have existed for a thousand years. The tribal imparitives ae timeless and immutable, ethnocentric violence, wanton destruction and ethnic cleansing. Now it will play out, nothing will stop it. Saddam himself played a final, important role in this process. He died well. Surrounded by a legion of partisan thugs hurling insults and catcalls, he stepped up to the gibbet with a natural grace and dignity that erased the decades of atrocity and dictatorial rule. The cell phone videos of the event swept around the World, immortalizing him and making him a martyr for large segments of the worlds population. Giving him over to such rabble for execution, on the eve of Eid, may be Bush's biggest blunder yet.

Just as he feels he can force the Iraqis to behave the way he wants them to, Bush believes he can force the American people to support his actions in Iraq. Once again, he has made a huge blunder. The American people are repulsed by the War in Iraq. They see no justification for it and no way to salvage the situation. What we have done to the Iraqi people, through our support of Bush's policies, amounts to a crime against humanity, done for no rational reason, by an administration that lied to a trusting people in the hope that once they got in deep enough, they would follow unquestioningly. The American people are better than that, bigger than that. They will not be lied to by their elected leaders and will not tolerate it. Bush's time is up. The bunker awaits. Will Laura and the little terrier follow him down? Well, maybe the terrier.

Bush still has supporters. The neocans, who have sold out their country for the wet dream of Zionism. The fundamentalists, who have seen the country move away from the values they cherish. The military, kicked to the curb by successive Democratic administrations. They will go down with him. There will be no place at the table for them in the coming years. There will be only the censure and loathing of their countrymen, for leading us, like the judas goat, down to the killing floor.

I do not delude myself into believing that the times ahead will be good or that the leaders that emerge will be worthy. Damage has been done. We will be scarred and ugly and disabled. It need not have been.

God Damn You All!

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

No Running on the Pool Deck!

1) Donald Trump must not have anything to do with regulating the morals of young women. It's just not right.

2) Hilliary must not run for President. Nobody wants it.

3) The deployment of a "surge" of troops to Bagdad is not a good idea. Bush says we're winning. He lies like a craven, yellow dog.

4) Giving money to televangelists doesn't help the poor or make Jesus like you.

Wednesday, December 13, 2006

Seasons Greetings

I just watched a Presidential news conference on Iraq. It is clear President Bush has no real understanding of the country, not it's history, not it's demographic make up, not it's current reality or what we are doing there. After four years of war in the country, the idea that the architect of the conflict, really hasn't taken much of an interest, is discouraging. The Fundies think these are the end times. One can only hope so. If Jesus comes down from Heaven, to lead the forces of the righteous, perhaps he will take a personal interest in what is happening and provide a little informed leadership. Revelate me, Baby!

Tom DeLay started a blog yesterday, for about 45 minutes. He had to shut it down, due to a deluge of harshly critical comments. I just wish I could get a level of traffic like that. Some people get all the luck. They'll probably have free wireless access at that prison he's going to.

The Environmental Protection Agency, which Bush packed with corporate polluters, has exempted the worst of the atmospheric mercury polluters, to ease the strain of increased urban development. The EPA has also signalled it is ready to declassify lead as an atmospheric pollutant, at the behest of Big Oil and the lead acid battery producers. Atmospheric lead has been strictly controlled since the Carter Administration, levels have decreased by 90% in the last thirty years.. Mercury and lead are known causative agents of neurological malfunction in the young. Wher's all that Culture of Life, Save the Children crap, when you need it.

They've sent Ted Haggard to Tucson, to cure him of being Gay. I understand there's something in the water, there, that does it. Good luck, Ted. After they cure that homo thing, you can work on the methamphetamine problem. That will help with all those religious delusions.

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

He Really is the President

It has become increasingly clear over the last couple of weeks that George W. Bush is not a figurehead. I had always assumed that there was some kind of cabal behind him, pulling the strings. I no longer believe this to be true. We now have ample proof that he has received council from the Vice President, Cabinet members, and Congressional leaders, advising him in the strongest terms as to advantageous courses of action to be taken in any number of areas, the mid-term elections, homeland security, Iraq and the bipartisan nature of the upcoming Congress, to name a few.

We know that he has disregarded this advice and continued blindly on with his previous course, with disasterous results in each case. The liberal conspiracy theories have been proved wrong. There is no secret government. There are only the masterbatory fantasies of a closeted, gay, frat boy, left too long alone, in a big, white, house.

My direst fears have been proved wrong but I am not relieved.