The polls have been pretty stable. The race is tightening up as undecideds make their decisions. Obama has leads in a lot of States that Republicans usually win and there are toss ups in States that Republicans always win. Electoral vote wise, it looks good for Obama. Popular vote wise it looks like it will be close in a lot of States.
I'm kind of expecting a surprise on election night, are you? Where I am, it feels like Obama is going to win, big. This is an area that always goes Republican. We always get a lot of Republican literature. We get phone calls from Republican phone banks. There are always a lot of Republican bumper stickers on cars. Brightly colored gardens of yard signs sprout on the street corners in the last week of elections. These things always happen. They didn't happen this year and there is less than a week to go. We even have a very hot, barometer like Right/Left proposition adding a ban on gay marriage to the State Constitution and I haven't really heard much about it. Some articles in the paper. A few TV ads. I've seen more excitement generated about school bonds.
How do pollsters get the phone numbers of the people they call? I've had the same phone number for a quarter century and no pollster has ever called me about politics during a National election. Are the polls missing something? I'm thinking maybe they are. The question is what are they missing?
We'll find out on election night.
No comments:
Post a Comment